Bitcoin Doubling Gold’s Yearly Gain So Far (#GotBitcoin)
Continuing to outpace mainstream markets, Bitcoin flexes gains more than double that of gold. Bitcoin Doubling Gold’s Yearly Gain So Far (#GotBitcoin)
Amid unstable global financial conditions, Bitcoin continues its path as a juicy-looking hedge asset, based on its gains comparative to gold.
Bitcoin Is World’s Best Performing Asset Class Over Past 10 Years
Sitting at a press time price of $1,717 per ounce, gold has risen approximately 12% from the start of 2020, TradingView data showed. In the same time frame, Bitcoin boasts a 30% gain, at a value of $9,290 at press time.
Bitcoin Shines Against Mainstream Markets
Coronavirus fears and prevention measures sent crypto and mainstream markets into a downward spiral. Bitcoin hit its most recent low on March 13, while traditional markets eventually lagged behind, posting a less dramatic recovery.
An increasing number of mainstream personalities have entered the crypto space in recent days, including hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones.
Morgan Creek Digital co-founder and partner, Anthony Pompliano, mentioned Bitcoin’s 2020 gains compared to gold in a May 13 tweet.
“I won’t hold my breath for the media to write articles stating ‘Bitcoin proving to be the best safe haven asset in the economic crisis,'” Pomp said, adding, “But even their silence can’t change the truth.” Pomplinao has long argued Bitcoin as a non-correlated hedge asset.
Bitcoin And Gold Gains Varied Over The Past Year
Based on the time frame used for comparison, Bitcoin and gold have seen varied gains and losses over the past year. Taking 2020’s highs and lows for both shows Bitcoin surging from its low at $3,830 up to its high of $10,080, a gain of 163% inside the year.
Taking 2020’s highs and lows for both shows Bitcoin surging from its low at $3,830 up to its high of $10,080, a gain of 163% inside the year. Gold swung from $1,450 to a height of $1,748 in the same time span, totalling a mere 20% of total upside.
Cointelegraph reached out to Pompliano for a follow up article, but has not heard back from him by press time.
Goldbugs Better Buying Mining Stocks, Bitcoiners Can Stick to Bitcoin
Over the past year, stock in four major gold mining companies have averaged triple the returns of physical gold, whereas Bitcoin mining companies have tended to underperform Bitcoin.
According to a May 26 tweet from a Messari researcher, goldbugs like Peter Schiff have been missing a trick. Over the past year, returns on stocks in gold mining companies have massively outperformed the return on actual gold.
Fans of Bitcoin (BTC) however, can rest safe in the knowledge that stock in Bitcoin mining companies has tended to underperform the genuine article.
Love Gold? Buy A Mine
At first glance the performance of gold over the last twelve months seems quite impressive, with gains pushing close to 40%.
That is, until one considers the stock of gold mining companies like Newmont, Franco-Nevada, Wheaton Precious Metals and Barrick.
These four companies have averaged almost 120% returns in the past year, effectively acting as a leveraged position on physical gold, with three times the gain.
Love Bitcoin? Buy Bitcoin
In contrast, Bitcoin price is up around 25% compared to a year ago, although if we only consider figures since the start of 2020 it is outperforming gold by a factor of two.
Stock in Bitcoin mining companies, however, has not fared so well. Looking at Riot, Canaan, Hut 8 and Hive, only Hut 8 has had positive returns over the last 12 months, being roughly similar to BTC’s 25%.
The other three stocks averaged a drop of over 40% each, underperforming Bitcoin by a large margin.
Bad News For Goldbugs
So for all of their evangelism, it seems that the goldbugs’ desire for physical gold is blinding them to the potential of investment in gold mining companies.
And the Bitcoiners? Well they could always wrap the Bitcoin, use it to take out a DeFi loan, and spend that on gold mining stocks, thereby exposing themselves to both leveraged gold gains and BTC gains.
You can’t do that with a bar of gold.
Bitcoin Price Stabilizes, Tops $21,000
Bitcoin is coming out of the long weekend holding onto recent gains, keeping it elevated above the $20,000 mark for the first time since the collapse of crypto exchange FTX.
The world’s largest cryptocurrency by market value was recently at $21,309, up 1% from its level 24 hours earlier, according to CoinDesk. It had tumbled after FTX faced a rush of withdrawals and filed for bankruptcy protection in November, then struggled to regain momentum in the weeks that followed as crypto traders turned skittish.
Based on 5 p.m. ET prices, Bitcoin is poised to advance for 14 consecutive days, its longest such streak since 2017, according to Dow Jones Market Data.
Crypto investors are hoping Bitcoin’s recent gains could spell the start of recovery in digital-asset valuations, though bitcoin remains well off its record high when it was more than $60,000.
Ethereum was recently around $1,579, up 0.2% over the last 24 hours, according to CoinDesk.
Bitcoin Outpaces Gold In 2023 As Resistance Turns Support
Bitcoin has not only started the new year with a rally, its gains have outpaced those of gold. That’s reversed — at least temporarily — part of the 76% decline in the Bitcoin-to-gold ratio over 12 months through November, a period during which the cryptocurrency tumbled into a bear market.
The gauge actually found a low two months ago and drifted sideways, taking support at resistance formerly seen in 2018 and 2019. The jump so far in 2023 signals that the barrier has now turned into a significant support area.
A Weaker Dollar Boosts Bitcoin And Gold Prices
Gold prices near record as investors bet inflation is here to stay.
Lower Treasury yields and weaker dollar have also boosted Bitcoin and the precious metal.
Gold prices hit their highest level of the year on Thursday, driven by bets that inflation will remain sticky despite recent declines.
The most actively traded gold-futures contract rose to $2,055.30 a troy ounce, up 13% year to date. That also put it within striking distance of its record high, reached in the summer of 2020.
Some investors value gold as a hedge against inflation, expecting the precious metal to hold up in value if other assets fall. Its rally this week, however, comes after two closely watched data prints showed that inflation is slowing.
The rising gold price shows investors are wagering that the Federal Reserve will pull back from its rate-hiking campaign even with inflation readings well above the central bank’s 2% target.
That in turn is born from concerns that the economy might be weaker than it seems. Though the labor market remains strong, last month’s banking crisis jolted worries that the economy remains vulnerable to even short-term headwinds.
A reversal by the Fed could result in higher inflation becoming embedded in the economy in coming years, analysts say, creating an environment that favors higher gold prices.
Brian Jacobsen, senior investment strategist at Allspring Global Investments, said gold prices have been lifted by an unusual combination of expectations on falling economic growth and rising inflation.
“The cold hand of reality slapped a lot of people in the face that we’re not going to get to target inflation this year or next,” Mr. Jacobsen said. “And it is unfortunate that it’s at the same time that growth expectations are also falling.”
Data on Thursday showed that the producer-price index, which generally reflects supply conditions across the economy, rose 2.7% in March from a year earlier, down from the highs of 2022 but above prepandemic levels.
Data released Wednesday told a similar story about consumer inflation. It rose 5% in March from the previous year, down from a multidecade high reached last June but still far above normal.
Federal Reserve minutes released this week show that officials expect to continue raising short-term interest rates from their recent target of 4.75% to 5%—a statement of intention that bond markets have long questioned.
“There’s expectations that the Fed will probably not deliver on the hawkish rhetoric that they’ve been talking about,” said Bart Melek, head of commodity strategy at TD Securities. “The market’s kind of going, ‘Well, that’s great, but we think you’re going to capitulate quicker.’ ”
Last month’s banking turmoil could also influence the Fed’s rate path. Many analysts say banks could pull back on lending, creating tighter economic conditions. That in turn could propel the Fed to pare back from its rate raising.
Even the idea that the Fed could stop raising rates soon “has been enough to get things going,” said Peter Boockvar, chief investment officer at the Bleakley Financial Group. The firm owns physical gold and silver exchange-traded funds, along with shares of mining companies.
Mr. Boockvar expects the Fed to cut rates once or twice in the back half of the year, and he expects inflation to hover at roughly 3% to 4% in 2024.
Gold has also been boosted by a recent drop in Treasury yields. Nervous investors have scooped up Treasurys recently as they try to parse conflicting signals about the health of the U.S. economy.
That has dragged down Treasury yields and thus increased the appeal of holding gold, even though it doesn’t offer regular income like bonds.
Lower yields have also weakened the dollar. That has made it cheaper for foreign investors to buy gold, which is priced in dollars.
The front-month gold futures contract has climbed about 12% this year, whereas the benchmark S&P 500 index has gained 8%.
Shares of precious-metals miners have benefited from gold’s advance this year. Newmont Corp. has gained 8.1%, Canadian-listed shares of Barrick Gold Corp. have rallied 15% and Kinross Gold Corp. has added 28%.
Investors prize gold in times of turmoil because it has held value for thousands of years. In 1971, President Richard Nixon ended a fixed gold-dollar conversion price, allowing the dollar to float freely against other currencies.
This year’s advance for the metal, used in everyday items from jewelry to electronics, comes after it ended 2022 flat. Gold avoided the steeper losses posted by stocks and bonds but still disappointed those who had expected it to thrive during an era of persistent inflation.
Prices have been powered this year first by wagers that slowing growth and cooling inflation would force the Fed to pivot from its aggressive monetary policy, and then by fears that banking troubles would kick off an economic slowdown.
Investors poured a net $653 million in the first quarter into SPDR Gold Shares, the world’s largest physically backed gold ETF.
That marks the largest quarterly inflow since the $7.29 billion received during the first quarter of 2022, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The fund gained 8% over the same period, its largest percentage gain since the three-month period ending December 2022.
“It’s had a very strong run of late,” said Matt Dmytryszyn, chief investment officer at Telemus, who expects prices to trade between $1,900 to $2,100 over the next six to 12 months. He is planning to take advantage of the higher prices and sell some of his gold ETF’s holdings.
To be sure, no new bank failures have been announced in recent weeks, and the economy by many measures continues to be strong.
Recent projections show Fed officials expect the federal-funds rate to rise to at least 5.1%.
Wall Street finds that hard to believe. Derivatives markets show traders expect the federal-funds rate to peak at roughly 4.99% in May, then fall to about 4.375% by the end of the year, according to FactSet.
For now, Mr. Boockvar is sticking with his gold holdings.
“Being a gold bull has taken a lot of patience, an extraordinary amount of patience. I believe that patience is about to be rewarded,” Mr. Boockvar said.
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World’s First Zero-Fiat ‘Bitcoin Bond’ Now Available On Bloomberg Terminal (#GotBitcoin?)
Buying Bitcoin Has Been Profitable 98.2% Of The Days Since Creation (#GotBitcoin?)
Another Crypto Exchange Receives License For Crypto Futures
From ‘Ponzi’ To ‘We’re Working On It’ — BIS Chief Reverses Stance On Crypto (#GotBitcoin?)
These Are The Cities Googling ‘Bitcoin’ As Interest Hits 17-Month High (#GotBitcoin?)
Venezuelan Explains How Bitcoin Saves His Family (#GotBitcoin?)
Quantum Computing Vs. Blockchain: Impact On Cryptography
This Fund Is Riding Bitcoin To Top (#GotBitcoin?)
Bitcoin’s Surge Leaves Smaller Digital Currencies In The Dust (#GotBitcoin?)
Bitcoin Exchange Hits $1 Trillion In Trading Volume (#GotBitcoin?)
Bitcoin Breaks $200 Billion Market Cap For The First Time In 17 Months (#GotBitcoin?)
You Can Now Make State Tax Payments In Bitcoin (#GotBitcoin?)
Religious Organizations Make Ideal Places To Mine Bitcoin (#GotBitcoin?)
Goldman Sacs And JP Morgan Chase Finally Concede To Crypto-Currencies (#GotBitcoin?)
Bitcoin Heading For Fifth Month Of Gains Despite Price Correction (#GotBitcoin?)
Breez Reveals Lightning-Powered Bitcoin Payments App For IPhone (#GotBitcoin?)
Big Four Auditing Firm PwC Releases Cryptocurrency Auditing Software (#GotBitcoin?)
Amazon-Owned Twitch Quietly Brings Back Bitcoin Payments (#GotBitcoin?)
JPMorgan Will Pilot ‘JPM Coin’ Stablecoin By End Of 2019: Report (#GotBitcoin?)
Is There A Big Short In Bitcoin? (#GotBitcoin?)
Coinbase Hit With Outage As Bitcoin Price Drops $1.8K In 15 Minutes
Samourai Wallet Releases Privacy-Enhancing CoinJoin Feature (#GotBitcoin?)
There Are Now More Than 5,000 Bitcoin ATMs Around The World (#GotBitcoin?)
You Can Now Get Bitcoin Rewards When Booking At Hotels.Com (#GotBitcoin?)
North America’s Largest Solar Bitcoin Mining Farm Coming To California (#GotBitcoin?)
Bitcoin On Track For Best Second Quarter Price Gain On Record (#GotBitcoin?)
Bitcoin Hash Rate Climbs To New Record High Boosting Network Security (#GotBitcoin?)
Bitcoin Exceeds 1Million Active Addresses While Coinbase Custodies $1.3B In Assets
Why Bitcoin’s Price Suddenly Surged Back $5K (#GotBitcoin?)
Bitcoin’s Lightning Comes To Apple Smartwatches With New App (#GotBitcoin?)
E-Trade To Offer Crypto Trading (#GotBitcoin)
US Rapper Lil Pump Starts Accepting Bitcoin Via Lightning Network On Merchandise Store (#GotBitcoin?)
Bitfinex Used Tether Reserves To Mask Missing $850 Million, Probe Finds (#GotBitcoin?)
21-Year-Old Jailed For 10 Years After Stealing $7.5M In Crypto By Hacking Cell Phones (#GotBitcoin?)
You Can Now Shop With Bitcoin On Amazon Using Lightning (#GotBitcoin?)
Afghanistan, Tunisia To Issue Sovereign Bonds In Bitcoin, Bright Future Ahead (#GotBitcoin?)
Crypto Faithful Say Blockchain Can Remake Securities Market Machinery (#GotBitcoin?)
Disney In Talks To Acquire The Owner Of Crypto Exchanges Bitstamp And Korbit (#GotBitcoin?)
Crypto Exchange Gemini Rolls Out Native Wallet Support For SegWit Bitcoin Addresses (#GotBitcoin?)
Binance Delists Bitcoin SV, CEO Calls Craig Wright A ‘Fraud’ (#GotBitcoin?)
Bitcoin Outperforms Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, Grows Whopping 37% In 2019 (#GotBitcoin?)
Bitcoin Passes A Milestone 400 Million Transactions (#GotBitcoin?)
Future Returns: Why Investors May Want To Consider Bitcoin Now (#GotBitcoin?)
Next Bitcoin Core Release To Finally Connect Hardware Wallets To Full Nodes (#GotBitcoin?)
Major Crypto-Currency Exchanges Use Lloyd’s Of London, A Registered Insurance Broker (#GotBitcoin?)
How Bitcoin Can Prevent Fraud And Chargebacks (#GotBitcoin?)
Why Bitcoin’s Price Suddenly Surged Back $5K (#GotBitcoin?)
Zebpay Becomes First Exchange To Add Lightning Payments For All Users (#GotBitcoin?)
Coinbase’s New Customer Incentive: Interest Payments, With A Crypto Twist (#GotBitcoin?)
The Best Bitcoin Debit (Cashback) Cards Of 2019 (#GotBitcoin?)
Real Estate Brokerages Now Accepting Bitcoin (#GotBitcoin?)
Ernst & Young Introduces Tax Tool For Reporting Cryptocurrencies (#GotBitcoin?)
Recession Is Looming, or Not. Here’s How To Know (#GotBitcoin?)
How Will Bitcoin Behave During A Recession? (#GotBitcoin?)
Many U.S. Financial Officers Think a Recession Will Hit Next Year (#GotBitcoin?)
Definite Signs of An Imminent Recession (#GotBitcoin?)
What A Recession Could Mean for Women’s Unemployment (#GotBitcoin?)
Investors Run Out of Options As Bitcoin, Stocks, Bonds, Oil Cave To Recession Fears (#GotBitcoin?)
Goldman Is Looking To Reduce “Marcus” Lending Goal On Credit (Recession) Caution (#GotBitcoin?)
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