What The Crypto Custody Industry Has In Common With Shadow Banks #SelfCustody #GotBitcoin
If custodial services want to accept deposits, pay an interest rate and make loans, they are acting as banks. What The Crypto Custody Industry Has In Common With Shadow Banks #SelfCustody #GotBitcoin
Regulators should regulate these companies as banks, including issuing licenses, establishing capital requirements, mandating public financial audits and everything else that other financial institutions are required to do.
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Venture capital firms need to perform proper due diligence on companies and cryptocurrencies. Institutions and retail investors alike — and even journalists — turn to VCs as gatekeepers.
They see investment flow as a sign of legitimacy. VCs have too much money and influence to fail to identify basic scams, con men and Ponzi schemes.
Luckily, cryptocurrency was created to eliminate these very problems. Individuals didn’t trust Wall Street banks or the government to do right by them. Investors wanted to control their own finances. They wanted to eliminate expensive middlemen. They wanted direct, inexpensive, peer-to-peer lending and borrowing.
That’s why, for the future of crypto, users should invest in DeFi products instead of centralized funds managed by others. These products give users control whereby they are able to maintain their funds locally. Not only does this eliminate bank runs, but it limits industry contagion threats.
The blockchain is an open, transparent and immutable technology. Instead of trusting talking heads, investors can see for themselves the liquidity of a company, what assets it has and how they are allocated.
DeFi also removes human middlemen from the system. What’s more, if entities want to overleverage themselves, they can do so only under the strict rules of an automated smart contract. When a loan comes due, the contract automatically liquidates the user and prevents an entity from taking down an entire industry.
Crypto critics will snipe that DCG’s possible implosion is another failure of an unsustainable industry. But they ignore the fact that the problems of the traditional financial sector — from poor due diligence to overleveraged investments — are the root causes of the challenges crypto faces today, not crypto itself.
Some may also complain that DeFi is ultimately uncontrollable. But its open, transparent design is precisely why it is flexible enough to shake up the entire financial industry for the better.
The tide may be flowing out, at least for now. But smart investments into decentralized finance today will mean we will be able to dive right back in when the next torrent comes — and this time, with a bathing suit.
The boom in market-based finance has taken risks away from regulated lenders, but recent crises show they’re still exposed.
Banks are far stronger and more stable than before the 2008 crisis, as I’ve written before. But they remain directly exposed to the market-based version of finance that has ballooned in the past decade.
And that exposure can be far more dangerous than expected when a very large fund or group of funds hits big problems fast as highlighted by the collapse of Hwang’s Archegos Capital Management, or the pension fund-driven turmoil in UK government bond markets triggered by Truss’s unfunded tax cuts.
Let’s first take a step back. Market-based finance – often called shadow banking – covers all the ways in which companies or households get funding from investors in capital markets.
Those investors include insurers, pension funds, hedge funds and myriad vehicles known by obscure acronyms. Global supervisors at the Financial Stability Board call these non-bank financial intermediaries.
NBFIs or shadow banks 1 controlled $225 trillion at the end of 2020, or nearly half of all global financial assets, according to an FSB report last week. That is up from $102 trillion in 2008.
They have overtaken banks, whose global assets were $114 trillion in 2008 and rose to $180 trillion in 2020.
Growth in market-based finance, or shadow banks, has outpaced banks.
This outcome was a deliberate aim of post-crisis rule changes that were designed to make the financial system safer and to lessen the need for future bank bailouts by distancing depositors from racier areas of finance.
But growth was turbocharged by monetary policy: Big central banks created trillions of dollars to take government bonds out of markets and encourage investors to buy corporate debt or mortgages, for example, instead. Quantitative easing was a market-based stimulus more than one to drive bank lending.
People have been fretting about shadow banking for years already, but they mostly worried about liquidity risks, which means the troubles caused when lots of people all try to pull their money from funds with hard-to-sell assets.
The FSB and other regulators have been working on ways to improve liquidity management of various types of funds to make them and markets generally more able to cope with any dash for cash by investors.
However, the collapse of Archegos in 2021 and the recent extreme volatility in UK government bond markets have revived another ghost from the past: Hidden leverage and the damage it can do to shadow banks’ counterparties. We’ve seen this disaster-movie before in the failure of Long-Term Capital Management in 1998, for example.
Leverage is just any method you can use to amplify the power of your bets. You could borrow money to make your wager bigger – and so increase your potential gains and losses.
Alternatively, you could use derivatives such as swaps, which allow you to make a large bet while only ponying up a fraction of its full notional value.
The trouble with derivatives is that counterparties like banks or clearinghouses have a harder time tracking the true scale of leverage their use creates. The more counterparties used by a single investor, the more hidden the leverage can be.
And the more concentrated the bets — either because one investor is making the same bets many times over, as Archegos did, or because many similar investors are all making the same bets, as happened with UK gilts — the more dangerous it can be for counterparties to unwind losing trades.
In both cases, a fire sale of collateral to close out the bet can destroy the value of the very security that’s meant to protect the counterparty.
Banks are protected from losses by collateral – the cash or bonds that investors put up against their trades. If bets go against investors, the bank asks for more cash or bonds.
When the collateral is easy to find, or easy for banks to sell, this all works fine. Even in stress tests, the losses that banks suffer from investors defaulting on derivatives bets are relatively small.
In the Federal Reserve’s 2022 test, counterparty default losses are lumped in with all other trading desk losses and the combined hit was still only 16% of total banking system losses. For a big universal bank like JPMorgan Chase & Co., the trading and counterparty loss was 17% of the total.
But these tests might be misleading: Hidden and concentrated leverage can hurt much more. Archegos was only one fund, but it cost a group of banks about $10 billion in losses.
In October’s UK government bond selloff, the Bank of England said it intervened to protect the stability of the market because gilts are crucial to the pricing of everything else.
The British financial blogger Frances Coppola mused at the time that the Bank might also have acted to prevent big losses to banks as counterparties to pension funds’ derivatives trades.
I think she had a point. Sarah Breeden, Bank of England executive director for financial stability, warned about hidden leverage and how it can hurt big banks at the core of the financial system in a trenchant speech on the gilt market debacle last week.
Breeden’s conclusions were that banks need more information from shadow banks about the full extent of their positions and the leverage involved, and that banks should be more creative in thinking up scenarios where shadow banks might default and their collateral might be dropping in value, too.
Markets are going to remain much more volatile than they have been in the past decade. Hidden leverage is hard to quantify, obviously, but it has certainly grown among shadow banks during the long years of ultra-low yields.
We will see more episodes where some corner of the markets hits a stomach churning air pocket. The banking system is much safer than in the past, but it isn’t quarantined from market-based finance, or its disasters.
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Why Bitcoin’s Price Suddenly Surged Back $5K (#GotBitcoin?)
Bitcoin’s Lightning Comes To Apple Smartwatches With New App (#GotBitcoin?)
E-Trade To Offer Crypto Trading (#GotBitcoin)
US Rapper Lil Pump Starts Accepting Bitcoin Via Lightning Network On Merchandise Store (#GotBitcoin?)
Bitfinex Used Tether Reserves To Mask Missing $850 Million, Probe Finds (#GotBitcoin?)
21-Year-Old Jailed For 10 Years After Stealing $7.5M In Crypto By Hacking Cell Phones (#GotBitcoin?)
You Can Now Shop With Bitcoin On Amazon Using Lightning (#GotBitcoin?)
Afghanistan, Tunisia To Issue Sovereign Bonds In Bitcoin, Bright Future Ahead (#GotBitcoin?)
Crypto Faithful Say Blockchain Can Remake Securities Market Machinery (#GotBitcoin?)
Disney In Talks To Acquire The Owner Of Crypto Exchanges Bitstamp And Korbit (#GotBitcoin?)
Crypto Exchange Gemini Rolls Out Native Wallet Support For SegWit Bitcoin Addresses (#GotBitcoin?)
Binance Delists Bitcoin SV, CEO Calls Craig Wright A ‘Fraud’ (#GotBitcoin?)
Bitcoin Outperforms Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, Grows Whopping 37% In 2019 (#GotBitcoin?)
Bitcoin Passes A Milestone 400 Million Transactions (#GotBitcoin?)
Future Returns: Why Investors May Want To Consider Bitcoin Now (#GotBitcoin?)
Next Bitcoin Core Release To Finally Connect Hardware Wallets To Full Nodes (#GotBitcoin?)
Major Crypto-Currency Exchanges Use Lloyd’s Of London, A Registered Insurance Broker (#GotBitcoin?)
How Bitcoin Can Prevent Fraud And Chargebacks (#GotBitcoin?)
Why Bitcoin’s Price Suddenly Surged Back $5K (#GotBitcoin?)
Zebpay Becomes First Exchange To Add Lightning Payments For All Users (#GotBitcoin?)
Coinbase’s New Customer Incentive: Interest Payments, With A Crypto Twist (#GotBitcoin?)
The Best Bitcoin Debit (Cashback) Cards Of 2019 (#GotBitcoin?)
Real Estate Brokerages Now Accepting Bitcoin (#GotBitcoin?)
Ernst & Young Introduces Tax Tool For Reporting Cryptocurrencies (#GotBitcoin?)
Recession Is Looming, or Not. Here’s How To Know (#GotBitcoin?)
How Will Bitcoin Behave During A Recession? (#GotBitcoin?)
Many U.S. Financial Officers Think a Recession Will Hit Next Year (#GotBitcoin?)
Definite Signs of An Imminent Recession (#GotBitcoin?)
What A Recession Could Mean for Women’s Unemployment (#GotBitcoin?)
Investors Run Out of Options As Bitcoin, Stocks, Bonds, Oil Cave To Recession Fears (#GotBitcoin?)
Goldman Is Looking To Reduce “Marcus” Lending Goal On Credit (Recession) Caution (#GotBitcoin?)
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