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Tesla And Bitcoin Are The Most Popular Assets On TradingView (#GotBitcoin?)

Both Bitcoin and Tesla seem to be “hot” favorites in America, after giving investors in excess of 60% returns in 2020. Tesla And Bitcoin Are The Most Popular Assets On TradingView (#GotBitcoin?)

Tesla And Bitcoin Are The Most Popular Assets On TradingView (#GotBitcoin?)

Bitcoin And Tesla Have Returned Over 60% To Investors In 2020

Tesla Stock Split 5-for-1. Here’s What That Means for Its Shares

In Brief

* Bitcoin And Tesla Stock Are The Two Most-Viewed Assets In America
* They Have Returned Over 60% To Investors So Far This Year.
* The Retail Crowd Accounts For High Activity On Both Assets.

Bitcoin and Tesla, the electric car maker, are America’s most viewed assets on charting platform TradingView, according to data published today.

Tesla (stock ticker: TSLA) enjoyed a meteoric rise this year as the future outlook for electric vehicles grew on Wall Street and among retail participants. Its stock went from $402 on January 1 this year to $1,660 at press time, while Bitcoin’s price rose from $7,400 to $11,700 in the same period.

Throughout July, TSLA was the most viewed stock in 31 states in the US, but Bitcoin was not far behind, noted TradingView. “Since the start of the year, Tesla’s stock has almost tripled in price. Meanwhile, Bitcoin is up 60% year-to-date,” it added.

Bitcoin also seemed to gain a fan following in California, where Tesla is headquartered. “Our findings also show the South East favors Forex and the West Coast states of California, Washington, and Oregon lean toward Bitcoin. The west coast loves crypto the most,” said TradingView.

Retailers rush into Bitcoin and Tesla

Tesla’s gains came this year despite being one of the world’s most-shorted (bets on bearish prices) stocks. Even Tesla CEO Elon Musk had trouble keeping up with the surge, stating the stock was “too overvalued” earlier this year.

But that didn’t stop speculators from piling into TSLA. Since his tweet on May 1, the stock rose another 127%.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin has performed strongly too, rising 36% based on a strong fundamental narrative amidst a grim economic outlook.

The rise of Bitcoin’s price has even attracted social influencers like Dave Portnoy, founder of sports blog Barstool Sports. He said he bought $250,000 in Bitcoin—and claimed that he was now holding $1 million in Bitcoin—this week, despite holding no crypto earlier. This was revealed in a video with crypto exchange Gemini co-founders Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss.

With Portnoy’s 1.7 million online followers, who are used to watching him tweet relentlessly about stocks, and his apparent allegiance to pump Bitcoin, the line between crypto and traditional stocks is becoming even blurrier.

Updated: 9-25-2020

Dave Portnoy Meets Pomp: ‘Bitcoin Is Just One Big Ponzi Scheme’

Famous day trader Dave Portnoy says he misses crypto in a candid interview with Anthony Pompliano.

Popular day trader and founder of Barstool Sports Dave Portnoy revealed that he bought $1.25 million worth of Bitcoin even though he thinks its “just one big Ponzi scheme” in an interview with crypto podcaster Anthony Pompliano. Portnoy summed up his view of crypto trading as:

“You get in, and you just have to not be the one left holding the bag.”

The sport and pop culture celebrity, whose day trading exploits have become hugely popular during the coronavirus pandemic, only recently delved into the world of crypto. He entered the Bitcoin (BTC) market in mid-August, following a meeting with the billionaire Winklevoss twins.

Portnoy said that he knew within 15 minutes of seeing responses to his Twitter posts about Bitcoin, that he had to get into crypto because “these are kind of like my people.”

At one point, Portnoy claimed, he held $1.25 million in BTC. However just eight days into his crypto experience, his Chainlink investment took a sharp hit, at which time Portnoy announced: “I’m out on crypto because coins don’t always go up.”

Following his exit, Portnoy appeared to be having withdrawals, claiming his “heart is crypto” and he’ll be back.

However, Portnoy appears to have been shaken by the experience. The price volatility on his crypto portfolio of over $1 million was too erratic and he thought it was too much money to gamble with when he didn’t know what was going on. “There is no rationale why it is going up, I have no idea why it is going up or down,” he explained,

Even though he’s pulled out, he still intends to get back into Bitcoin eventually. “I’ll get back into Bitcoin. I don’t know when,” he said. “I don’t have much liquid really — it’s all invested.”

Pompliano suggested to Portnoy that when he does, rather than trade, he should hold Bitcoin until the end of next year:

“You can’t look at it, because you’ve got weak hands. You’ll sell it.”

SURPRISE DROP: @stoolpresidente completely uncensored on Barstool, betting, and Bitcoin
— Pomp (@APompliano) September 25, 2020

Tesla Stock Split 5-for-1. Here’s What That Means for Its Shares

The day has arrived. Stock in the electric-vehicle pioneer Tesla is splitting 5 for 1 after the market closes for trading.

Tesla (ticker: TSLA) shares were set to open on Monday at $448.48—up 1.3% from one-fifth of where the stock currently trades. Stock-split math and figures associated with it generally don’t amount to much, but Tesla is the exception. They were trading up 5.9% at 468.83 at 10:34 a.m.

With Tesla stock, the numbers are always part of the story.

The shares were up 958% over the past year as of Thursday’s closing price. The stock has gained about 430% year to date—crushing comparable gains of the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average and leaving the company with a market capitalization of more than $417 billion.

Since the split was announced, Tesla shares have gained 61%. That gain makes this week’s 8% jump look small. (Tesla shares were up another 1.9% in late morning trading on Friday trading, but closed down 1.1%.) The numbers since the split announcement are amazing to behold. Tesla might appear to be worth about $160 billion more because it trades at a lower absolute price.

That logic strains credulity.

It isn’t all the stock split, though. Estimates of Tesla’s earnings and analysts’ forecasts for the stock price are rising. Investors are optimistic about Sept. 22, when Tesla will devote a day to explaining developments in battery technology. Investors are hoping for word on costs, how far Tesla might be able to extend the range its vehicles can travel on a single charge, and how long its batteries will last.

The battery day is the next big factor following the split that could move the stock. What happens after the split itself is anyone’s guess.

Few pundits predicted a gain of more than 60% in the aftermath of the Aug. 11 stock-split news. Investors might have been piling into Tesla shares before the split in anticipation of higher demand from individual investors Monday.

If the demand materializes, Tesla shares could pop next week. If the pop doesn’t happen and traders get out of recent positions, then shares could fall.

Another wild card for Tesla stock traders is the shares’ potential inclusion in the S&P 500. After Tesla reported a profit under generally accepted accounting principles in its most recent quarter, the stock qualified for the Index.

Tesla bears have questioned the quality of Tesla earnings. They point out that selling regulatory credits—earned by producing more electric vehicles than regulators require, to auto makers who producer fewer—led to the reported profitability. It’s true, but everyone who follows Tesla knows that it sells credits. And the profit was posted during the pandemic, when U.S. auto sales were plunging.

This bearish argument, at this point, feels like spitting into the wind. The S&P Index committee probably doesn’t care about the regulatory-credit debate. If they do, investors won’t hear about it. The decision whether to include Tesla is completely discretionary.

Tesla is most likely going into the index. It is the seventh most valuable company in America. Thursday, Tesla surpassed Visa (V) in terms of market capitalization. Next up is Berkshire Hathaway.

Passing Berkshire would be quite a coup for Tesla bulls. Value investors such as Berkshire’s Warren Buffett struggle with Tesla’s valuation. Tesla bulls think the company is a so-called platform company with new technology and plenty of scope for earnings growth.

Platform companies are those like Apple (AAPL) or (AMZN), with multiple businesses that enable third parties to thrive using their technology. In the case of Tesla, that includes solar power and energy storage. Down the road, robotaxis could join the list.

Eclipsing Buffett would be another feather in the bulls’ cap.

Updated: 9-15-2020

Tesla Stock Is Rising For A New Reason

Tesla stock rose almost 13% Monday, wiping out all the losses associated with the S&P index committee snub. Shares are up again in premarket trading Tuesday, leaving investors wondering what is driving the stock this week. One possible answer: the Tesla app.

Tesla shares fell from $418.32 to 330.21 on Sept. 8, down 21%, after the S&P index committee decided not to add Tesla to the S&P 500 when its indexes rebalance later in September. It was a bitter disappointment for Tesla bulls.

The disappointment, however, was short-lived. Tesla stock is up another 4.3% in premarket trading Tuesday, to $437.18. Investors might have been encouraged by an Elon Musk tweet about the company’s coming battery technology day.

Goldman Sachs published a research report Monday that also might have helped propel Tesla shares higher. Tesla app downloads are going up, which might mean more people have bought Tesla vehicles lately. New owners have to download the app to do things like start their vehicle and access additional features. The data could mean Tesla beats third-quarter delivery estimates of 145,000 units.

App downloads is a new bit of data to track. Barron’s hasn’t come across it before. “Tesla global weekly app downloads have recently been tracking up on a [year over year] basis, with the most recent full week of global data at up about 20%,” wrote Goldman analyst Mark Delaney. “Tesla app downloads are primarily concentrated in the United States and China, with the [year-over-year] growth being driven by China.”

China is an important growth market for Tesla. It’s the largest new car market in the world, as well as the largest market for electric vehicles.

hird-quarter delivery estimates for Tesla have been rising over the past few weeks. Third-quarter estimates bottomed out at about 118,000 vehicles in April, amid the worst of the global pandemic, and then recovered to 121,000 vehicles by the end of June.

Before third-quarter numbers are released, however, Tesla’s battery technology day will take place on September 22. Investors and analysts will be looking for information about battery cost, reliability, and capacity, along with any new technologies that the company is considering for commercialization down the road.

The recent gains add to Tesla stock’s epic 2020 run. Shares, including premarket trading Tuesday, are up about 420% year to date, crushing comparable returns of the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average, as well as those of traditional automotive peers.

The premarket gains have pushed Tesla’s market value back above $400 billion. Tesla’s all-time high closing price is $498.32.

Delaney, for his part, rates Tesla shares the equivalent of Hold and has a $295 price target for the stock.

Updated: 2-26-2021

Elon Musk Unfazed By Rumored Possibility Of SEC Probe Into Dogecoin Tweets

The Tesla CEO avowedly loves “dogs and memes” and is greeting the alleged possibility of federal scrutiny of his Dogecoin tweets with a consistently droll attitude.

Rumors of a possible investigation by the United States Securities and Exchange Commission into Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s alleged impact on Dogecoin’s (DOGE) price moves have been circulating on social media over the past day — a phenomenon that one Twitter user has quipped is “peak 2021.”

Musk’s previous showdowns with the SEC notwithstanding, the CEO appears to be unfazed about the possibility of an all-too-real legal fallout sparked by his penchant for the meme cryptocurrency. Musk’s professed love for “dogs & memes” has spurred him to repeatedly post jocular memes about Dogecoin, most recently one showing the DOGE mascot “on the actual moon.”

While the reference apes trader lingo for stratospheric price action and could therefore be construed as some form of endorsement, Musk has publicly said that for all his love of the meme cryptocurrency, he is partial to Bitcoin (BTC) when it comes to strategic personal and corporate investment. That hasn’t stopped the CEO’s tweeting, however tongue-in-cheek, from providing some serious fuel for meme coin market volatility — Dogecoin Christmas 2020 being just one instance.

Musk’s apparently all-too-real impact on the price movements of both cryptocurrencies, given his enormous social media following, makes disentangling meme fun from celebrity shilling almost impossible. Legal advisors have previously voiced their opinion that the CEO could already be in for scrutiny from the SEC after his documented influence on Bitcoin’s price moves this year.

Both the prospect of an SEC investigation and the prospect of DOGE’s metamorphosis into “a real currency” remain, for now, parallel meme-like and humorous eventualities in the CEO’s imagination. Musk’s previous SEC battles back in 2018 may have had real ramifications for the CEO, resulting in his removal as chairman of the Tesla board and the payment of financial penalties, but he seems unlikely to give up on his Twitter kicks just yet.

Updated: 3-9-2021

Tesla Slump Ends After It Posts Biggest Gain In Over A Year

Investors rushed back into Tesla Inc. shares on Tuesday, putting a screeching halt to a five-day slump, and pushing the stock to its biggest gain in more than a year.

A steady stream of positive news — including an upgrade from a Wall Street analyst, a rally in the cryptocurrency Bitcoin and a broader turn in sentiment toward high-multiple technology stocks — are luring investors back to Tesla and other electric-vehicle makers.

Shares of the Elon Musk-led company closed up 20% on Tuesday, erasing most of the decline in the previous past five sessions.

The losing streak at one point had shaved off nearly $150 billion of the company’s market value. The stock closed at $673.58 in New York.

If anything, the steep rout in the stock was seen as an opportunity to buy the shares.

New Street Research analyst Pierre Ferragu upgraded Tesla to buy from the equivalent of a hold, saying the company has two years of earnings momentum ahead and its demand outlook is stronger than supply could ever be.

New Street’s forecast implies Tesla could deliver $12 of EPS in 2023, the analyst said in a note. Average analysts’ profit estimate for the period stands at $7.73 a share, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

“With such earnings revision, we would expect the stock to remain in the upper end of the 50-100x range, similar to where Amazon traded on for almost a decade, and below today’s multiple of 100x,” Ferragu said.

Wild Swings

Precipitous drops are nothing new for Tesla investors. The stock has seen three sharp selloffs of more than 30% in a span of about a month since the beginning of 2020.

While the market has recently soured on expensive growth stocks like Tesla amid a rise in Treasury yields, shares of the EV maker have also been hit hard as a slew of legacy carmakers this year announced their plans to aggressively push into the electrification trend.

Smaller EV-makers and suppliers also rallied Tuesday, including shares of Nio Inc., XPeng Inc., Workhorse Group Inc., Nikola Corp., Li Auto Inc. and Canoo Inc. The Chinese names have also been boosted by a narrower 4Q loss from XPeng and on reports that Nio and Xpeng were considering second listings in Hong Kong.

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